Projected scores modeled from each program's returning starters, transfer portal additions, and recruiting class rankings. Offensive and defensive PPG averaged across schedule strength. Rankings subject to Boss adjustments.
| # | Team | Conf | Off PPG ↕ | Def PPG ↕ | +/− ↕ | NET ↕ | KenPom | NIL ↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | ACC | 84.2 | 63.1 | +21.1 | #1 | #1 | $4,800,000 | |
| 2 | Kansas | Big 12 | 82.7 | 64.8 | +17.9 | #3 | #2 | $4,200,000 | |
| 3 | Kentucky | SEC | 81.9 | 65.4 | +16.5 | #4 | #4 | $4,500,000 | |
| 4 | UNC | ACC | 83.4 | 67.2 | +16.2 | #6 | #5 | $3,900,000 | |
| 5 | Gonzaga | WCC | 85.1 | 69.3 | +15.8 | #7 | #6 | $2,800,000 | |
| 6 | Houston | Big 12 | 74.8 | 59.6 | +15.2 | #5 | #7 | $3,100,000 | |
| 7 | Purdue | Big Ten | 80.3 | 65.8 | +14.5 | #8 | #8 | $3,300,000 | |
| 8 | UConn | Big East | 78.6 | 64.9 | +13.7 | #9 | #9 | $3,000,000 | |
| 9 | Alabama | SEC | 86.4 | 73.1 | +13.3 | #10 | #10 | $3,600,000 | |
| 10 | Auburn | SEC | 79.2 | 66.4 | +12.8 | #11 | #11 | $3,400,000 | |
| 11 | Tennessee | SEC | 77.4 | 65.2 | +12.2 | #12 | #12 | $3,200,000 | |
| 12 | Michigan St. | Big Ten | 76.8 | 65.1 | +11.7 | #14 | #13 | $2,900,000 | |
| 13 | Arizona | Big 12 | 82.1 | 70.8 | +11.3 | #15 | #14 | $2,700,000 | |
| 14 | Baylor | Big 12 | 78.9 | 68.1 | +10.8 | #16 | #15 | $2,600,000 | |
| 15 | Indiana | Big Ten | 77.2 | 67.1 | +10.1 | #17 | #16 | $2,500,000 |