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News/Alabama projects 86.4 offensive PPG — highest scoring offense in D1
BASKETBOSSBASKETBOSS·May 4, 2026·3 min read

ALABAMA PROJECTS 86.4 OFFENSIVE PPG — HIGHEST SCORING OFFENSE IN D1

Alabama's up-tempo offensive system projects as the highest-scoring offense in Division I for 2026-27, with an 86.4 PPG projection that reflects their pace and shooting efficiency.

Alabama enters 2026-27 with the highest projected offensive efficiency in Division I basketball, with BasketBoss models projecting the Crimson Tide to score 86.4 points per game — the only team in D1 projecting above 86 PPG.

Head coach Nate Oats' system is built around pace, spacing, and three-point shooting — a combination that has consistently produced elite offensive numbers at Alabama. The Crimson Tide ranked in the top 5 nationally in three-point attempts per game last season and project to do so again in 2026-27.

The key offensive returner is a 6'4" shooting guard who led the SEC in scoring last season at 22.1 PPG. His ability to create off the dribble and shoot off movement makes him the ideal player for Oats' system.

Alabama's offensive projection of 86.4 PPG is tempered by their defensive projection of 73.1 PPG allowed — 9th in the SEC — giving them a +13.3 scoring margin that ranks 9th in D1. Their path to a national championship likely runs through improving on the defensive end.

Despite the defensive concerns, Alabama's offensive firepower makes them one of the most dangerous teams in the country on any given night. They open as the projected No. 2 seed in the SEC Tournament behind Kentucky.

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